All eyes have been fixed on the Federal Reserve over the past year, with investors and markets earnestly searching for cues as to where we might be headed – soft landing, crippling economic recession, or something in between. Predicting the severity of the landing may not be practical (for us or the Fed), however, we …
Still In The Box – A Review Of The Federal Reserve’s December Meeting Minutes Read More »
Ready to Learn More? If you’d like to speak about the market in greater detail or inquire about our fundamental investment process, don’t hesitate to schedule some time on our National Sales Manager, Aaron Ploscowe’s, calendar. He’d be happy to answer your questions. If you’d like to download a copy of our market commentary, click here. …
Market Commentary – 2022 Review & Overview (Video) Read More »
When we started writing about inflationary risks in January of 2021, we were on the leading edge… Since then, the markets have become obsessed with inflation reports and with Federal Reserve pronouncements regarding its inflation fight. Headlines lamenting “historic inflation” and “fast and large rate increases” have dominated news outlets over the last 9 months. …
Ready to Learn More? If you’d like to speak about the market in greater detail or inquire about our fundamental investment process, don’t hesitate to schedule some time on our National Sales Manager, Aaron Ploscowe’s, calendar. He’d be happy to answer your questions. If you’d like to download a copy of our market commentary, click here. …
Market Commentary – Looking For The Proper Metaphor… (Video) Read More »
By most measures, the U.S. Treasury yield curve is now inverted. When any selected shorter term rate is higher than a selected longer term rate, the curve is “inverted”. Most indicative in our work is the 2 year versus the 10 year, which is currently inverted by 0.51%. The yield curve typically inverts during periods …
Ready to Learn More? If you’d like to speak about the market in greater detail or inquire about our fundamental investment process, don’t hesitate to schedule some time on our National Sales Manager, Aaron Ploscowe’s, calendar. He’d be happy to answer your questions. If you’d like to download a copy of our market commentary, click here. …
Market Commentary – Are The Bubbles Behind Us? (Video) Read More »
A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales (National Bureau of Economic Research). We’ve already seen one quarter of economic decline, but whether we cross the technical threshold of a recession …
Rates have been moving higher – for everything and everywhere. Where will they go from here? Not to be flippant, but it depends. From an empirical standpoint, the Fed is clearly “behind the curve” – meaning they have been late to the inflation fighting process. To be fair, there are some “transitory” contributors to inflation, …
Interest Rates: Where Are We In The Big Picture? Read More »
The Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is a great tool to contextualize overarching trends in the stock market—including current strength, expected strength (or weakness), and vulnerability to shock. The P/E ratio is found in many forms. Trailing, Forward, Cyclically Adjusted, Discounted, Operating, Actual. They all move over time and the value of each requires an …
What The Forward P/E Ratio Can Tell Us About Stock Market Risk Today Read More »
Ready to Learn More? If you’d like to speak about the market in greater detail or inquire about our fundamental investment process, don’t hesitate to schedule some time on our National Sales Manager, Aaron Ploscowe’s, calendar. He’d be happy to answer your questions. If you’d like to download a copy of our market commentary, click here. …
Market Commentary – Inflation Is Key To everything (Video) Read More »